Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
