Newport
2 - 0
Swansea

Abrahams (8', 45')
Labadie (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lowe (68')

Data Analysis

Mike Flynn lavishes praise on 'Championship-quality' Tristan Abrahams

The Match

Match Report

Tristan Abrahams hit both goals for the Exiles.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Swansea City
37.05%	26.15%	36.8%

Both teams to score 53.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.17%

50.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.29%

72.71%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37%

26.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13%

61.87%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22%

26.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.94%

62.05%

Score Analysis

Newport County 37.05%

Swansea City 36.8%

Draw 26.15%

Newport County	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.05%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.8%