Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
