Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
