Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
