Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
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