Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
-0.56) 
0.17) 
