Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.88%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.