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League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
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AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Stockport

Pell (48')
Pell (10'), Woodyard (63'), Little (71'), Chislett (76'), Biler (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wright (16'), Byrne (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Stockport County

Stockport have the joint-highest points total of any side in the league over the course of the past 15 games, and we expect them to continue their fantastic recent form on Saturday. Wimbledon will be no pushovers, but they have struggled to find the back of the net in recent weeks and have won just one of their last six League Two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawStockport County
26.01% (0.317 0.32) 26.47% (-0.209 -0.21) 47.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.848 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (0.968 0.97)55.64% (-0.973 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2% (0.786 0.79)76.79% (-0.78999999999999 -0.79)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21% (0.809 0.81)36.79% (-0.813 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42% (0.801 0.8)73.58% (-0.804 -0.8)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.36499999999999 0.36)23.43% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (0.533 0.53)57.42% (-0.536 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 26.01%
    Stockport County 47.51%
    Draw 26.46%
AFC WimbledonDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.31% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.01%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.329 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 12.5% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-2 @ 9.08% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.084 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Bradford
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Newport
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 AFC Wimbledon (3-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Bradford
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-2 Walsall
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Stockport
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-2 Stockport
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Crewe
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two


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