Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
-0.04) 
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