SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
49.9% ( 0.07) | 23.8% ( -0.02) | 26.3% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( 0.03) | 44.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( 0.03) | 66.91% ( -0.02) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( 0.04) | 17.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.25% ( 0.07) | 48.75% ( -0.06) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( -0.03) | 30.61% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% ( -0.03) | 66.84% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 26.3% |
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