Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
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