Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
