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League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
NC

Oldham
0 - 1
Newport


Piergianni (14'), Hart (22'), Blyth (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ellison (88')
Norman (14'), Abraham (90+5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawNewport County
27.21%24.79%48%
Both teams to score 54.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8%48.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64%70.36%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16%31.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72%68.28%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87%20.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.61%52.39%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 27.21%
    Newport County 48%
    Draw 24.79%
Oldham AthleticDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 7.34%
2-1 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 4.2%
3-1 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.21%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 9.42%
0-2 @ 8.23%
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 2.02%
0-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 48%

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