Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.
