Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
