Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
