Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
