Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
