SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 62.75% | 21.8% | 15.45% |
| Both teams to score 46.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% | 49.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% | 71.8% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% | 15.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.99% | 44% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.26% | 44.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.28% | 80.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 12.84% 2-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 6.07% 4-0 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.44% 5-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.13% Total : 62.74% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.5% 1-2 @ 4.16% 0-2 @ 2.21% 1-3 @ 1.11% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.42% Total : 15.45% |
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