Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Oldham Athletic in this match.