Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 44.04%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 27.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
