Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
