Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
