Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
