SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Morecambe |
46.85% ( -1.3) | 25.07% ( -0.05) | 28.09% ( 1.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( 1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.21% ( 1.08) | 48.79% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( 0.98) | 70.89% ( -0.97) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( -0.12) | 20.86% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.45% ( -0.19) | 53.55% ( 0.19) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( 1.62) | 31.48% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( 1.83) | 67.86% ( -1.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.85% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.09% |
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