Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Morecambe |
49.03% ( 0.05) | 24.17% ( -0.02) | 26.8% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.16% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.22% ( 0.09) | 45.78% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.9% ( 0.09) | 68.1% ( -0.09) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( 0.06) | 18.75% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.87% ( 0.09) | 50.13% ( -0.09) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% ( 0.03) | 30.88% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.83% ( 0.03) | 67.17% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 26.8% |
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