Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
