Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0.04) 
