Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 81.45%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Lumezzane had a probability of 5.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.06%) and 1-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a Lumezzane win it was 0-1 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
