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Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Siro
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Inter Milan
1 - 0
AC Milan

Martinez (74')
Barella (79'), Martinez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thiaw (56'), Tonali (79'), Krunic (81'), Tomori (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
57.66% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 23.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 18.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)50.7% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)72.6% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)17.34% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.72%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)40.92% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.51% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)77.48% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 57.65%
    AC Milan 18.95%
    Draw 23.38%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 57.65%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.38%
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 18.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Roma 0-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, May 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-6 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, April 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Juventus
Wednesday, April 26 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Spezia 2-0 AC Milan
Saturday, May 13 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lazio
Saturday, May 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Cremonese
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Serie A


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