Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.61%) and 3-0 (11.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
77.75% (![]() | 15.2% (![]() | 7.05% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.16% (![]() | 43.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.77% (![]() | 66.23% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.64% (![]() | 9.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.47% (![]() | 31.53% (![]() |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.1% (![]() | 56.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.01% (![]() | 88.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 14.94% (![]() 1-0 @ 12.61% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 11.79% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.92% Total : 77.74% | 1-1 @ 7.11% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.38% Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.2% | 0-1 @ 3% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 7.05% |
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