Though Slavia certainly have the weapons to punish any Milan mistakes, the hosts possess more squad depth these days and can score from several sources. As a result, they should make the most of home advantage and take a one-goal lead to Prague.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
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