Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
40.62% (![]() | 25.42% (![]() | 33.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.04% (![]() | 47.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.87% (![]() | 70.13% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.59% (![]() | 23.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.59% (![]() | 57.4% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% (![]() | 27.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.53% (![]() | 62.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 9.21% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.73% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 12.02% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.28% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.96% |
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