AFC Wimbledon are on cloud nine after a historic victory over their arch rivals on the weekend, and we believe that the Dons can carry the positive momentum into this midweek clash.
Grimsby had to really scrap for a narrow win over fellow strugglers Forest Green last time out, and we think that the Mariners will not be as successful at Plough Lane on Tuesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.73%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
-2.65) 
0.68) 
