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MX23RW : Friday, April 26 19:53:30
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Friday, April 26
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League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
GT

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Chislett (60')
Biler (34'), Kalambayi (49'), Pell (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simmonds (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Grimsby Town

Grimsby are bound to win in League Two sooner rather than later, and they showed their prowess on the road once again last weekend by stunning Cambridge in the FA Cup. Wimbledon have been on a strong run recently, but we have a sneaky feeling their unbeaten run may be coming to an end on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
35.17% (1.561 1.56) 27.34% (0.25 0.25) 37.5% (-1.802 -1.8)
Both teams to score 49.78% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (-0.785 -0.79)55.77% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.644 -0.64)76.9% (0.655 0.66)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.617 0.62)30.16% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.729 0.73)66.3% (-0.72 -0.72)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-1.413 -1.41)28.73% (1.422 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (-1.798 -1.8)64.56% (1.808 1.81)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 35.16%
    Grimsby Town 37.49%
    Draw 27.34%
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.477 0.48)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.188 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.387 0.39)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.16%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.263 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Salford City 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Doncaster
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Man City U21s (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup


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