SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al-Sadd |
30.04% ( -0.16) | 22.69% ( 0.07) | 47.27% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.28% ( -0.45) | 36.72% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.12% ( -0.49) | 58.88% ( 0.48) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.32) | 24.02% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( -0.46) | 58.28% ( 0.45) |
| Al-Sadd Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( -0.14) | 15.95% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.76% ( -0.25) | 45.23% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al-Sadd |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.27% |
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