SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Umm Salal had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Umm Salal win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Sadd | Draw | Umm Salal |
63.89% ( 0.03) | 18.96% ( -0.02) | 17.15% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.23% ( 0.03) | 33.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.39% ( 0.03) | 55.61% ( -0.04) |
| Al-Sadd Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.94% ( 0.01) | 10.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.84% ( 0.03) | 33.16% ( -0.04) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( -0) | 32.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.59% ( -0) | 69.4% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Sadd | Draw | Umm Salal |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.67% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 4.38% Total : 63.89% | 1-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.96% | 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 17.15% |
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