Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.58%) and 2-0 (4.86%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Al-Duhail | Draw | Al Gharafa |
45.07% ( 0.08) | 21.33% ( 0.06) | 33.59% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 70.99% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.82% ( -0.37) | 28.17% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.04% ( -0.46) | 48.96% ( 0.46) |
Al-Duhail Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( -0.12) | 13.46% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.54% ( -0.24) | 40.46% ( 0.24) |
Al Gharafa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.03% ( -0.24) | 17.97% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.19% ( -0.41) | 48.81% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Al-Duhail | Draw | Al Gharafa |
2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 45.07% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.33% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.81% Total : 33.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: