SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Wakrah |
35.87% ( 0.05) | 23.23% ( -0.03) | 40.89% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.22% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( 0.15) | 37.22% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% ( 0.16) | 59.43% ( -0.17) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( 0.09) | 21.03% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.18% ( 0.15) | 53.82% ( -0.15) |
| Al Wakrah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( 0.05) | 18.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% ( 0.09) | 50.02% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Wakrah |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 40.89% |
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