Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 27
Apr 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
We said: Al Khaleej 0-3 Al-Hilal
The home side may be enjoying their best run of the season heading into this encounter with the league leaders, but Al-Hilal have proved to be a class ahead of every other team in the league this season, and we expect them to comfortably win this one.
The visitors have scored a massive 79 goals in 26 games, while their defence has been equally as impressive with just 16 goals coming against them, leading us to believe they will keep their 15th clean sheet of the season here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 79.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.69%) and 0-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 1-0 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Khaleej | Draw | Al-Hilal |
7.4% ( -0.01) | 13.32% ( -0.02) | 79.27% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.23% ( 0.01) |
| 67% ( 0.05) | 33% ( -0.05) |
| 45.27% ( 0.05) | 54.72% ( -0.06) |
| 51.62% ( 0) | 48.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.49% ( 0) | 83.51% ( -0) |
| 93.44% ( 0.01) | 6.56% ( -0.02) |
