SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Hilal |
28.02% ( 1.17) | 23.62% ( 0.3) | 48.36% ( -1.47) |
| Both teams to score 59.04% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.57% ( -0.52) | 42.43% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( -0.52) | 64.83% ( 0.52) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( 0.58) | 28.24% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( 0.72) | 63.94% ( -0.73) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( -0.75) | 17.72% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.62% ( -1.31) | 48.38% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 4% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.02% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.76% Total : 48.36% |
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