SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Ittihad |
53.61% ( 0.06) | 21.31% ( 0.02) | 25.07% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 64.54% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.02% ( -0.16) | 33.98% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.16% ( -0.18) | 55.84% ( 0.18) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( -0.03) | 12.88% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.71% ( -0.07) | 39.28% ( 0.07) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( -0.14) | 25.91% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.09% ( -0.19) | 60.91% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Ittihad |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 53.62% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.07% |
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