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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Fahd International Stadium

Al Shabab
3 - 4
Al-Hilal

Al-Juwayr (3'), Al-Sibyani (64'), Saiss (78')
Santos (36')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Mitrovic (20' pen., 27'), Milinkovic-Savic (42'), Al-Dawsari (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Hazem 0-3 Al Shabab
Thursday, March 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Damac
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Shabab 0-2 Al-Hilal

Al Shabab have fallen a long way this season and need string together a few positive results to pull away from the relegation scrap. Unfortunately for the hosts, though, they are facing an opponent that have taken on all-comers this season and have looked almost unbeaten at times. Al-Hilal are massive favourites heading into this match and we feel they will claim yet another straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for an Al Shabab win it was 2-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
10.75% (-0.022 -0.02) 15.32% (0.084 0.08) 73.92% (-0.065999999999988 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.86% (-0.512 -0.51)31.14% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.44% (-0.607 -0.61)52.55% (0.605 0.61)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)39.89% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44% (-0.375 -0.38)76.56% (0.371 0.37)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.81% (-0.133 -0.13)7.19% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.89% (-0.345 -0.34)26.11% (0.341 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 10.75%
    Al-Hilal 73.92%
    Draw 15.32%
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 2.64% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 10.75%
1-1 @ 6.94% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.87% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.32%
0-2 @ 9.94% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.72% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 8.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.16 0.16)
0-4 @ 5.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 5.28% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.68% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-5 @ 3.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.78% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.42% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 73.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Hazem 0-3 Al Shabab
Thursday, March 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 2-3 Al Fayha
Thursday, March 7 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-0 Al Shabab
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 2-3 Al-Nassr
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al Shabab
Friday, February 16 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-2 Roma
Wednesday, January 24 at 4.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Damac
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, March 12 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-3 Al-Hilal
Friday, March 8 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Ittihad
Tuesday, March 5 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Ittihad
Friday, March 1 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Hilal
Monday, February 26 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League


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