SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Al Quadisiya had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Al Quadisiya win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Quadisiya |
49.85% ( 0.18) | 23.55% ( 0.02) | 26.61% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.85% ( -0.23) | 43.16% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.45% ( -0.23) | 65.55% ( 0.23) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( -0.02) | 17.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.12% ( -0.03) | 47.88% ( 0.03) |
| Al Quadisiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.26) | 29.65% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( -0.32) | 65.69% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Quadisiya |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 26.61% |
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