SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Al Orubah had a probability of 10.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for an Al Orubah win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Orubah |
73.58% ( 0.33) | 15.81% ( -0.15) | 10.6% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.78% ( 0.17) | 34.22% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.89% ( 0.19) | 56.11% ( -0.19) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.02% ( 0.11) | 7.98% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.84% ( 0.28) | 28.16% ( -0.28) |
| Al Orubah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.65% ( -0.22) | 42.35% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.26% ( -0.19) | 78.74% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Orubah |
| 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 73.58% | 1-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.81% | 1-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.25% Total : 10.6% |
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