SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.
| Result | ||
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al-Nassr |
25% ( 0.56) | 22.5% ( 0.22) | 52.49% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.23% ( -0.45) | 39.76% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.88% ( -0.47) | 62.12% ( 0.47) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( 0.2) | 29.07% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% ( 0.25) | 64.99% ( -0.25) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.75% ( -0.42) | 15.24% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.08% ( -0.79) | 43.91% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.31% Total : 25% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.49% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
