SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.23%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Wahda |
74.23% ( -0.11) | 15.28% ( -0.02) | 10.49% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.2% ( 0.51) | 31.8% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.67% ( 0.59) | 53.33% ( -0.59) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.72% ( 0.09) | 7.28% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.65% ( 0.25) | 26.35% ( -0.25) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.15% ( 0.59) | 40.85% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.58% ( 0.52) | 77.42% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Wahda |
| 2-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 74.23% | 1-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.28% | 1-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.36% Total : 10.49% |
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