Albania have surpassed expectations in their Euro 2024 qualifiers up to this point, and they could take a huge step towards booking their place in the tournament with a victory on Thursday night.
However, the two nations looked very evenly-matched in the reverse fixture, so we are expecting another draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 34.94%. A win for Albania had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Albania win was 1-0 (13.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
