SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Poland | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Moldova | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Faroe Islands | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Albania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Poland | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Moldova | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Faroe Islands | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Albania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 73.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 9.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.99%) and 0-3 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 1-0 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Faroe Islands | Draw | Czech Republic |
9.05% ( -0.27) | 17.91% ( -0.78) | 73.04% ( 1.05) |
| Both teams to score 39.46% ( 1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.17% ( 2.33) | 48.83% ( -2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% ( 2.08) | 70.93% ( -2.08) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.79% ( 0.88) | 55.2% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12% ( 0.51) | 88% ( -0.51) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.09% ( 0.98) | 11.91% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.75% ( 2.04) | 37.25% ( -2.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Faroe Islands | Draw | Czech Republic |
| 1-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.51% Total : 9.05% | 1-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.65)2-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.91% | 0-2 @ 14.88% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 13.99% ( -0.81)0-3 @ 10.55% ( 0.19)1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.28)0-4 @ 5.62% ( 0.31)1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.27)0-5 @ 2.39% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.13)1-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.88% Total : 73.03% |
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