SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Serbia | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 2 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Moldova | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Czech Republic |
43.09% ( -1.25) | 27.61% ( 0.52) | 29.3% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.89% ( -1.59) | 58.11% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.22% ( -1.26) | 78.77% ( 1.26) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( -1.37) | 26.72% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% ( -1.84) | 61.98% ( 1.84) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( -0.28) | 35.46% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( -0.29) | 72.22% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungary | Draw | Czech Republic |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.08% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.05% Total : 29.3% |
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