SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 2 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Moldova | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 2 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Moldova | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Poland had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albania | Draw | Poland |
53.09% ( -4.66) | 25.87% ( 1.58) | 21.04% ( 3.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.92% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.47% ( -2.09) | 57.53% ( 2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.68% ( -1.68) | 78.32% ( 1.69) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( -2.69) | 21.76% ( 2.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.05% ( -4.28) | 54.95% ( 4.29) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.41% ( 2.28) | 42.59% ( -2.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.06% ( 1.88) | 78.94% ( -1.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albania | Draw | Poland |
| 1-0 @ 14.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.97)2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -1.01)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.53)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.6)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.37)Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.08% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.7) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.72)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 1.06) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.6)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.63)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.23)Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.04% |
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