DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Neuer Tivoli
Timothy Hanraths (28'),
Benschop (60')
Scepanik (45'), Timothy Hanraths (45+5'), Heinz (56'), Bapoh (90+3'), Goden (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: Alemannia Aachen 1-0 Holstein Kiel
Holstein go into this fixture on a poor run of form, which we think could impact their performance against an Alemannia Aachen side who are already competing in league matches and have made a positive start to their campaign.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Alemannia Aachen had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.44%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for an Alemannia Aachen win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
| Result |
| Alemannia Aachen | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
9.93% ( -0.34) | 15.42% ( -0.29) | 74.65% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0.24) |
| 65.61% ( 0.36) | 34.39% ( -0.36) |
| 43.69% ( 0.4) | 56.31% ( -0.4) |
| 56.26% ( -0.39) | 43.74% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.09% ( -0.33) | 79.91% ( 0.33) |
| 92.2% ( 0.22) | 7.8% ( -0.22) |
